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How Underdogs Can Win Print E-mail
Wednesday, 18 January 2006

Shock, horror the favourite lost. Well it’s not such a shock really. It happens all the time. Remember Roger Federer was an underdog once. Everybody has to rise up the ladder by beating people ranked higher than them.

The players that get to the top do so because of a better mental attitude. To take golf as an example there is nothing about Tiger Woods, V.J Singh and Ernie Els in terms of their physiques that makes them the world’s greatest golfers – what sets them apart is their mental attititude.

Even in sports which are more physically demanding – let’s take the 100 metres sprint there are milliseconds between the top competitors  - the reason why one wins the race and not the other is mental attitude. There is no great physical reason why someone is 1/100th of a second faster.

Obviously fitness, strength, coordination and stamina play their part – but the mental game is crucial.

Now let’s focus on a team sport, football.

The Fink Tank in the Times have calculated that the chances of at least one team from a lower division defeating a side from at least one division higher is 99.85 per cent (ie almost certain) and that the chances that a team beat a side two divisions above them is 48.8 per cent (ie almost 50:50)

Now why does this happen. Let’s get the reasons I don’t want to focus on out of the way:

1)      it could be that the stronger team have an off day, possibly through overconfidence, possibly by not treating the game as a priority

2)      it could be that conditions favour the underdog – eg a poor quality that the underdog who are the home side are used to

3)       The crowd – the importantce of the crowd has been discussed before in SuperEngland.Com

What I want to highlight is what it is about the successful underdog that we can learn from and benefit us if we are in that situatiuon.

 

Let’s list out some football examples (I have pruned a list from the BBC :

Walsall 2, Arsenal 0
Jan 1933 FA Cup 3rd round

Yeovil 2, Sunderland 1
Jan 1949 FA Cup 4th round

USA 1, England 0
Brazil, June 1950 World Cup Finals

England 3, Hungary 6
Wembley, Nov 1953

Bangor 2, Napoli 0
Sept 1962 Cup Winners' Cup 1st rnd, 1st leg

N. Korea 1, Italy 0
June 1966 World Cup Finals

Swindon Town 3, Arsenal 1
Mar 1969 League Cup Final

Colchester United 3, Leeds United 1
Feb 1971 FA Cup 5th round

Hereford United 2, Newcastle United 1
Jan 1972 FA Cup 3rd round

Sunderland 1, Leeds United 0
May 1973 FA Cup Final

Southampton 1, Manchester United 0
May 1976 FA Cup Final

Algeria 2, West Germany 1
Spain, June 1982 World Cup Finals

Bournemouth 2, Manchester United 0
Jan 1984 FA Cup 3rd round

Wimbledon 1, Liverpool 0
May 1988 FA Cup Final

Cameroon 1, Argentina 0
June 1990 World Cup Finals

Faroe Islands 1, Austria 0
Sept 1990 European Championship qualifying round

Wrexham 2, Arsenal 1
Jan 1992 FA Cup 3rd round

Denmark 2, Germany 0
June 1992 European Championship Final

USA 2, England 0
Boston, June 1993 US Cup 93

Bulgaria 2, Germany 1
New York, July 1994 World Cup Finals

USA 1, Brazil 0
Los Angeles, Feb 1998 Conacaf Gold Cup

Croatia 3, Germany 0
France, July 1998 World Cup quarter final

So, here is the advice distilled from some comments by giant-killers:

* You have to believe you can win – otherwise forget it

* Play for the team -  let the opposition’s egos destroy themselves

* You have nothing to lose –do not fear failure – do not even consider failure

* Whoever you are playing whether it’s a non-league team or Chelsea – the skills you require are the same – if you’ve scored from 25 yards with a belter against a non-league team you can do it against Chelsea – if you’ve dribbled brilliantly past Fred Bloggs – you can do it against Wayne Bridge

* Remember you know more about your opponents than they know about you – if you have video footage imprint it in your mind when players have dribbled past their defenders, or when players have tackled their attackers. Imprint it when your opponents have been outfought.

*You need leadership on the pitch, you need to talk to each other

*Prepare, do your homework – make the most of your advantages – to build your confidence on strong foundations.

* Remember be focused, clear your mind of everything else but the moment

* Remember that adrenalin raises your game – you will have more of it than the favourites.

Last Updated ( Wednesday, 18 January 2006 )
 
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